NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated November 02, 2021
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Creaser | 17 | 25 | 73.9% | 1 | 34.6 | 1 |
| 2 | Dan Ellenberger | 16 | 25 | 69.6% | 2 | 32.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Matt Hogel | 14 | 25 | 60.9% | 4 | 28.4 | 3 |
| 4 | Nick Boucher | 13 | 26 | 59.1% | 5 | 26.7 | 6 |
| 4 | Andrew Batchelor | 13 | 27 | 61.9% | 3 | 27.6 | 5 |
| 6 | Mike Thorne | 12 | 26 | 54.5% | 6 | 27.8 | 4 |
| 6 | Gavin Gray | 12 | 24 | 50.0% | 7 | 25.8 | 7 |
| 8 | Luke Phelan | 10 | 25 | 43.5% | 8 | 24.8 | 8 |
| 9 | Andrew Moeller | 8 | 24 | 33.3% | 9 | 19.3 | 9 |
| 10 | Karl Loiseau | 6 | 25 | 26.1% | 10 | 18.3 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 12.5 | DEN | 0.8 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 12.6 | BYE | |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 9.5 | CLE | 0.61 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 7 | 12.9 | @SF | 0.59 |
| Tennessee Titans | 6 | 11.5 | @RAM | 0.25 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 8.1 | @BAL | 0.31 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 7 | 12.8 | TEN | 0.75 |
| Carolina Panthers | 4 | 7.4 | NE | 0.36 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 8.2 | ARI | 0.41 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 10.6 | MIN | 0.69 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 10.5 | ATL | 0.7 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 6.5 | @NO | 0.3 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 7 | 12.2 | @KC | 0.5 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 9.7 | @PHI | 0.54 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 4.8 | @IND | 0.18 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | 8.6 | @CIN | 0.39 |
| Denver Broncos | 4 | 8.4 | @DAL | 0.2 |
| New England Patriots | 4 | 8.8 | @CAR | 0.64 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 12.6 | @JAX | 0.89 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 9.6 | @NYG | 0.61 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 5.6 | LVR | 0.39 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4 | 8.9 | CHI | 0.72 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 8.1 | NYJ | 0.82 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3 | 7.8 | LAC | 0.46 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 6.1 | @PIT | 0.28 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 8.1 | BYE | |
| Washington | 2 | 5.1 | BYE | |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 8.9 | GB | 0.5 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 3.9 | BUF | 0.11 |
| Miami Dolphins | 1 | 5.5 | HOU | 0.72 |
- Win probability calculated from consensus vegas point spreads
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Tennessee Titans | 6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 7 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 11 | 5 | -2 | 8 |
| Carolina Panthers | 4 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 25 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | 10 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| New England Patriots | 4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| Denver Broncos | 4 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4 | 9 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 14 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 13 |
| Washington | 2 | 19 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| Miami Dolphins | 1 | 16 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Draft Results
